Module 3: Lessons from Historians and Intelligence Analysts
• Reasoning About Causal Relationships
• Understanding Change in Complex Socio-Technical Systems
• Naturalistic investigations and models of reasoning about complex indeterminate causation
• History Lessons
• Civilization, Transformation, and Collapse
• Prediction and Explanation in Social Systems
• The Natural Science Underlying Big History
• The Intelligence Community Debate over Intuition versus Structured Technique: Implications for Improving Intelligence Warning and Analysis
* Rethinking the Training of Intelligence Analysts
* Historical Analysis and Scenario Planning
• Reasoning About Causal Relationships
• Understanding Change in Complex Socio-Technical Systems
• Naturalistic investigations and models of reasoning about complex indeterminate causation
• History Lessons
• Civilization, Transformation, and Collapse
• Prediction and Explanation in Social Systems
• The Natural Science Underlying Big History
• The Intelligence Community Debate over Intuition versus Structured Technique: Implications for Improving Intelligence Warning and Analysis
* Rethinking the Training of Intelligence Analysts
* Historical Analysis and Scenario Planning